Evaporation (evspsbl)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
evspsbl Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 22:05:44
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:05:44

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          6.8432e-05
  Bias:          -5.2979e-05
  MAE:           5.5384e-05
  Correlation:   0.3029
  N points:      231,672
  Model mean:    2.1467e-05  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      7.4445e-05  (reference)
  Model std:     1.2214e-05
  Ref std:       4.5421e-05

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -1.7309e-04
    5th pct:     -1.2429e-04
    25th pct:    -8.8173e-05
    Median:      -5.0295e-05
    75th pct:    -1.5980e-05
    95th pct:    +9.0924e-06
    Max:         +5.3262e-05

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       7.3269e-05    -4.8371e-05    5.3721e-05  0.4438
  Feb       7.0410e-05    -4.7569e-05    5.1210e-05  0.4558
  Mar       6.2811e-05    -4.8414e-05    4.9835e-05  0.4372
  Apr       5.9460e-05    -5.0206e-05    5.1221e-05  0.0727
  May       6.4225e-05    -5.4113e-05    5.5168e-05  -0.3409
  Jun       6.9893e-05    -5.7866e-05    5.9253e-05  -0.0752
  Jul       6.9908e-05    -5.6548e-05    5.9119e-05  -0.1667
  Aug       6.5306e-05    -5.7600e-05    5.9165e-05  -0.4860
  Sep       6.0934e-05    -5.4164e-05    5.4398e-05  -0.1380
  Oct       6.9273e-05    -5.5348e-05    5.6456e-05  0.3326
  Nov       7.4724e-05    -5.2864e-05    5.6342e-05  0.4422
  Dec       7.8304e-05    -5.2681e-05    5.8724e-05  0.4574
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       6.8432e-05    -5.2979e-05    5.5384e-05  0.3029

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:05:44

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     8.2161e-05
  Future std:      2.6632e-05
  Reference mean:   7.6014e-05  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        8.2161e-05    2.6632e-05

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       5.9513e-05    6.7674e-05    -8.1619e-06
  Feb       8.5972e-05    6.7262e-05    +1.8709e-05
  Mar       8.4298e-05    6.7423e-05    +1.6875e-05
  Apr       6.5533e-05    7.3006e-05    -7.4731e-06
  May       9.2021e-05    7.9088e-05    +1.2933e-05
  Jun       9.3933e-05    8.6031e-05    +7.9019e-06
  Jul       9.0226e-05    8.5166e-05    +5.0599e-06
  Aug       1.0162e-04    8.4241e-05    +1.7382e-05
  Sep       9.0401e-05    7.8740e-05    +1.1661e-05
  Oct       8.2312e-05    7.6641e-05    +5.6714e-06
  Nov       7.8532e-05    7.3905e-05    +4.6268e-06
  Dec       6.1571e-05    7.2995e-05    -1.1425e-05

Near-surface Specific Humidity (huss)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
huss Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 21:46:15
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:46:15

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          2.1350e-03
  Bias:          +1.5863e-04
  MAE:           1.7017e-03
  Correlation:   0.5190
  N points:      231,672
  Model mean:    5.8590e-03  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      5.7003e-03  (reference)
  Model std:     2.2269e-03
  Ref std:       2.1098e-03

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -6.7382e-03
    5th pct:     -3.4584e-03
    25th pct:    -1.2808e-03
    Median:      +1.4601e-04
    75th pct:    +1.6090e-03
    95th pct:    +3.6461e-03
    Max:         +6.9202e-03

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.5086e-03    -3.6237e-05    1.0911e-03  0.2572
  Feb       1.5569e-03    +4.4860e-05    1.1785e-03  0.1233
  Mar       1.7750e-03    +4.2486e-06    1.4088e-03  -0.1401
  Apr       1.9513e-03    -2.6381e-05    1.6302e-03  -0.6252
  May       2.4698e-03    -3.8690e-05    2.1289e-03  -0.8972
  Jun       2.6854e-03    +2.2245e-04    2.3031e-03  -0.8976
  Jul       2.5361e-03    +2.9322e-04    2.1142e-03  -0.7850
  Aug       2.4620e-03    +3.5321e-04    1.9752e-03  -0.7016
  Sep       2.3365e-03    +3.8812e-04    1.8972e-03  -0.6815
  Oct       2.2864e-03    +3.4356e-04    1.8730e-03  -0.4861
  Nov       1.9285e-03    +2.0993e-04    1.5548e-03  -0.2643
  Dec       1.6831e-03    +1.4531e-04    1.2650e-03  0.0692
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       2.1350e-03    +1.5863e-04    1.7017e-03  0.5190

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:46:15

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     6.0100e-03
  Future std:      1.9371e-03
  Reference mean:   5.8405e-03  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        6.0100e-03    1.9371e-03

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       3.9931e-03    3.9533e-03    +3.9722e-05
  Feb       3.8286e-03    3.8590e-03    -3.0404e-05
  Mar       4.0674e-03    4.1419e-03    -7.4464e-05
  Apr       5.1261e-03    4.8012e-03    +3.2495e-04
  May       6.1165e-03    6.0018e-03    +1.1476e-04
  Jun       7.6201e-03    7.4198e-03    +2.0032e-04
  Jul       8.9524e-03    8.7104e-03    +2.4209e-04
  Aug       8.8795e-03    8.6856e-03    +1.9391e-04
  Sep       7.5767e-03    7.4194e-03    +1.5730e-04
  Oct       6.2006e-03    6.0521e-03    +1.4851e-04
  Nov       5.2151e-03    4.9006e-03    +3.1455e-04
  Dec       4.3951e-03    4.1407e-03    +2.5441e-04

Net Longwave Radiation (net_lw)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Conservative
################################################################################
net_lw Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 10:39:13
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 10:39:13

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          1.6538e+01
  Bias:          -3.5944e+00
  MAE:           1.2725e+01
  Correlation:   0.2075
  N points:      243,612
  Model mean:    -5.6159e+01  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      -5.2565e+01  (reference)
  Model std:     1.3979e+01
  Ref std:       1.1477e+01

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -6.9486e+01
    5th pct:     -2.9672e+01
    25th pct:    -1.3560e+01
    Median:      -3.8538e+00
    75th pct:    +4.8030e+00
    95th pct:    +2.5837e+01
    Max:         +5.6977e+01

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.7210e+01    +4.3730e-01    1.3172e+01  0.3611
  Feb       1.6077e+01    +1.0766e-02    1.2492e+01  0.2918
  Mar       1.2512e+01    +1.8439e-02    9.5077e+00  -0.0245
  Apr       1.1156e+01    -9.7327e-01    8.3211e+00  -0.2491
  May       1.1877e+01    -4.3843e+00    9.0041e+00  0.2273
  Jun       1.6788e+01    -9.3927e+00    1.4130e+01  0.2210
  Jul       2.2031e+01    -1.2035e+01    1.8219e+01  0.1129
  Aug       2.0658e+01    -9.1840e+00    1.6295e+01  -0.0445
  Sep       1.5896e+01    -5.6830e+00    1.2599e+01  -0.2514
  Oct       1.4577e+01    -1.9217e+00    1.1400e+01  -0.2394
  Nov       1.6842e+01    -1.1489e+00    1.3148e+01  0.2481
  Dec       1.9036e+01    +1.1236e+00    1.4417e+01  0.3050
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       1.6538e+01    -3.5944e+00    1.2725e+01  0.2075

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 10:39:13

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     -5.2593e+01
  Future std:      7.9269e+00
  Reference mean:   -5.2973e+01  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014       -5.2593e+01    7.9269e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan      -4.9612e+01   -4.8447e+01    -1.1650e+00
  Feb      -5.1738e+01   -5.1518e+01    -2.1997e-01
  Mar      -5.6694e+01   -5.6331e+01    -3.6339e-01
  Apr      -5.6832e+01   -5.9212e+01    +2.3805e+00
  May      -5.8689e+01   -5.8602e+01    -8.7099e-02
  Jun      -5.5851e+01   -5.4921e+01    -9.3091e-01
  Jul      -5.1137e+01   -5.1945e+01    +8.0723e-01
  Aug      -5.2941e+01   -5.3570e+01    +6.2866e-01
  Sep      -5.2103e+01   -5.2512e+01    +4.0991e-01
  Oct      -4.9999e+01   -5.1198e+01    +1.1989e+00
  Nov      -4.7737e+01   -4.8616e+01    +8.7978e-01
  Dec      -4.7778e+01   -4.8809e+01    +1.0303e+00

Net Shortwave Radiation (net_sw)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Conservative
################################################################################
net_sw Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 10:23:51
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 10:23:51

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          4.6200e+01
  Bias:          +1.3382e+01
  MAE:           3.7588e+01
  Correlation:   0.8479
  N points:      243,612
  Model mean:    1.1315e+02  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      9.9766e+01  (reference)
  Model std:     8.3286e+01
  Ref std:       7.2919e+01

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -1.3765e+02
    5th pct:     -5.9319e+01
    25th pct:    -1.8033e+01
    Median:      +1.5338e+01
    75th pct:    +4.3644e+01
    95th pct:    +8.4981e+01
    Max:         +2.0797e+02

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       2.9455e+01    +1.3754e+00    2.5253e+01  -0.8769
  Feb       4.2212e+01    +3.8409e+00    3.6053e+01  -0.8979
  Mar       5.3337e+01    +7.0163e+00    4.5000e+01  -0.8323
  Apr       5.3308e+01    +8.5538e+00    4.2380e+01  -0.5666
  May       4.3415e+01    +1.8928e+01    3.3734e+01  -0.1047
  Jun       4.7515e+01    +3.3068e+01    3.9717e+01  0.0227
  Jul       5.2701e+01    +3.3923e+01    4.3697e+01  -0.2442
  Aug       5.5789e+01    +2.5192e+01    4.5753e+01  -0.6867
  Sep       5.4596e+01    +1.6222e+01    4.5894e+01  -0.8929
  Oct       4.9222e+01    +8.2272e+00    4.2085e+01  -0.9658
  Nov       3.4762e+01    +3.0268e+00    2.9850e+01  -0.9284
  Dec       2.5165e+01    +1.2081e+00    2.1635e+01  -0.8403
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       4.6200e+01    +1.3382e+01    3.7588e+01  0.8479

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 10:23:51

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     1.0368e+02
  Future std:      7.1241e+01
  Reference mean:   1.0325e+02  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        1.0368e+02    7.1241e+01

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       2.0472e+01    2.0474e+01    -1.5735e-03
  Feb       4.2268e+01    4.2400e+01    -1.3252e-01
  Mar       8.6236e+01    8.6638e+01    -4.0196e-01
  Apr       1.4437e+02    1.4520e+02    -8.3166e-01
  May       1.9246e+02    1.9119e+02    +1.2694e+00
  Jun       2.0883e+02    2.0463e+02    +4.2064e+00
  Jul       1.9061e+02    1.9109e+02    -4.8481e-01
  Aug       1.5556e+02    1.5601e+02    -4.5458e-01
  Sep       1.0339e+02    1.0329e+02    +9.5092e-02
  Oct       5.5644e+01    5.6383e+01    -7.3953e-01
  Nov       2.5590e+01    2.6083e+01    -4.9328e-01
  Dec       1.5339e+01    1.5659e+01    -3.2029e-01

Precipitation (pr)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Conservative
################################################################################
pr Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 22:10:37
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:10:37

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          3.2352e-05
  Bias:          +2.9407e-05
  MAE:           2.9407e-05
  Correlation:   0.4076
  N points:      243,612
  Model mean:    2.9449e-05  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      4.2730e-08  (reference)
  Model std:     1.3493e-05
  Ref std:       1.7820e-08

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         +1.6520e-06
    5th pct:     +1.2934e-05
    25th pct:    +1.9286e-05
    Median:      +2.6410e-05
    75th pct:    +3.7255e-05
    95th pct:    +5.3951e-05
    Max:         +1.1246e-04

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       3.5983e-05    +3.2818e-05    3.2818e-05  0.5377
  Feb       3.3676e-05    +3.0924e-05    3.0924e-05  0.5359
  Mar       2.9858e-05    +2.7347e-05    2.7347e-05  0.4684
  Apr       2.8356e-05    +2.6486e-05    2.6486e-05  0.3125
  May       2.4687e-05    +2.2791e-05    2.2791e-05  -0.0363
  Jun       2.5521e-05    +2.2247e-05    2.2247e-05  0.0151
  Jul       2.7809e-05    +2.4639e-05    2.4639e-05  -0.0104
  Aug       3.0475e-05    +2.7550e-05    2.7550e-05  0.0185
  Sep       3.4467e-05    +3.2112e-05    3.2112e-05  0.2259
  Oct       3.6745e-05    +3.4210e-05    3.4210e-05  0.3705
  Nov       3.8100e-05    +3.5944e-05    3.5944e-05  0.4883
  Dec       3.8504e-05    +3.5810e-05    3.5810e-05  0.5525
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       3.2352e-05    +2.9407e-05    2.9407e-05  0.4076

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:10:37

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     3.6264e-05
  Future std:      2.2864e-05
  Reference mean:   4.2646e-08  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        3.6264e-05    2.2864e-05

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       3.3826e-05    4.7381e-08    +3.3779e-05
  Feb       3.7293e-05    4.3793e-08    +3.7250e-05
  Mar       3.2113e-05    3.8251e-08    +3.2075e-05
  Apr       2.7851e-05    3.5201e-08    +2.7815e-05
  May       2.8793e-05    3.4692e-08    +2.8759e-05
  Jun       3.2144e-05    3.8137e-08    +3.2106e-05
  Jul       3.4998e-05    4.0041e-08    +3.4958e-05
  Aug       4.2833e-05    4.1577e-08    +4.2791e-05
  Sep       3.4987e-05    4.4224e-08    +3.4943e-05
  Oct       4.5845e-05    4.9600e-08    +4.5795e-05
  Nov       4.3861e-05    5.0166e-08    +4.3811e-05
  Dec       4.0521e-05    4.8684e-08    +4.0473e-05

Sea-level Pressure (psl)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
psl Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 22:00:57
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:00:57

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          6.4414e+02
  Bias:          -1.1192e+01
  MAE:           4.9427e+02
  Correlation:   0.0360
  N points:      231,672
  Model mean:    1.0121e+05  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      1.0122e+05  (reference)
  Model std:     4.7736e+02
  Ref std:       4.4987e+02

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -2.0274e+03
    5th pct:     -1.3058e+03
    25th pct:    -3.6072e+02
    Median:      +9.8066e+01
    75th pct:    +4.0229e+02
    95th pct:    +9.2302e+02
    Max:         +2.0479e+03

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.1323e+03    -1.2050e+02    9.9274e+02  -0.4445
  Feb       9.5051e+02    -2.7475e+02    8.1543e+02  -0.4087
  Mar       5.8925e+02    -1.3081e+02    5.0033e+02  -0.0690
  Apr       2.8358e+02    -1.2057e+02    2.4849e+02  0.0162
  May       1.8127e+02    +1.6486e+02    1.6550e+02  0.7912
  Jun       3.8355e+02    +3.6298e+02    3.6298e+02  0.7725
  Jul       3.3957e+02    +2.1302e+02    2.7686e+02  -0.0999
  Aug       3.7634e+02    +1.4424e+02    3.1472e+02  -0.5871
  Sep       4.3542e+02    +5.4548e+01    3.7799e+02  -0.4475
  Oct       5.0621e+02    +7.6919e+01    4.2209e+02  0.2133
  Nov       6.2907e+02    -1.2931e+02    5.4461e+02  0.0458
  Dec       1.0428e+03    -3.7494e+02    9.0948e+02  -0.5105
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       6.4414e+02    -1.1192e+01    4.9427e+02  0.0360

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:00:57

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     1.0241e+05
  Future std:      7.1132e+02
  Reference mean:   1.0127e+05  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        1.0241e+05    7.1132e+02

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.0264e+05    1.0114e+05    +1.4937e+03
  Feb       1.0229e+05    1.0118e+05    +1.1096e+03
  Mar       1.0243e+05    1.0128e+05    +1.1516e+03
  Apr       1.0242e+05    1.0130e+05    +1.1192e+03
  May       1.0260e+05    1.0150e+05    +1.1000e+03
  Jun       1.0254e+05    1.0144e+05    +1.1002e+03
  Jul       1.0250e+05    1.0136e+05    +1.1305e+03
  Aug       1.0243e+05    1.0134e+05    +1.0890e+03
  Sep       1.0233e+05    1.0133e+05    +1.0003e+03
  Oct       1.0214e+05    1.0116e+05    +9.7612e+02
  Nov       1.0211e+05    1.0110e+05    +1.0105e+03
  Dec       1.0243e+05    1.0114e+05    +1.2940e+03

Near-surface Air Temperature (tas)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
tas Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 21:38:07
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:38:07

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          6.9072e+00
  Bias:          +3.4571e-01
  MAE:           5.4614e+00
  Correlation:   0.5013
  N points:      231,672
  Model mean:    2.8125e+02  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      2.8090e+02  (reference)
  Model std:     7.2683e+00
  Ref std:       6.4787e+00

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -3.1852e+01
    5th pct:     -1.1605e+01
    25th pct:    -4.0197e+00
    Median:      +5.6776e-01
    75th pct:    +5.1702e+00
    95th pct:    +1.1283e+01
    Max:         +1.9132e+01

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       6.6155e+00    -7.4424e-01    4.8356e+00  0.3695
  Feb       7.1521e+00    -3.7665e-01    5.2695e+00  0.1971
  Mar       7.4884e+00    -6.7455e-01    5.7125e+00  -0.1706
  Apr       7.5529e+00    -6.1810e-01    6.0173e+00  -0.7290
  May       7.4244e+00    -5.3819e-02    6.1792e+00  -0.7556
  Jun       6.9332e+00    +1.1931e+00    5.8293e+00  -0.5388
  Jul       6.6480e+00    +1.8422e+00    5.5865e+00  -0.3979
  Aug       6.6847e+00    +1.7051e+00    5.5954e+00  -0.6246
  Sep       6.4823e+00    +1.1789e+00    5.3505e+00  -0.7759
  Oct       6.5920e+00    +6.2183e-01    5.2721e+00  -0.4310
  Nov       6.5573e+00    +1.4967e-01    4.9846e+00  -0.0238
  Dec       6.6274e+00    -7.5005e-02    4.9047e+00  0.2655
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       6.9072e+00    +3.4571e-01    5.4614e+00  0.5013

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:38:07

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     2.8464e+02
  Future std:      5.3782e+00
  Reference mean:   2.8131e+02  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        2.8464e+02    5.3782e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       2.7805e+02    2.7523e+02    +2.8198e+00
  Feb       2.7786e+02    2.7519e+02    +2.6698e+00
  Mar       2.7963e+02    2.7703e+02    +2.6052e+00
  Apr       2.8360e+02    2.7986e+02    +3.7424e+00
  May       2.8637e+02    2.8320e+02    +3.1678e+00
  Jun       2.8965e+02    2.8619e+02    +3.4603e+00
  Jul       2.9209e+02    2.8847e+02    +3.6157e+00
  Aug       2.9179e+02    2.8843e+02    +3.3548e+00
  Sep       2.8884e+02    2.8561e+02    +3.2286e+00
  Oct       2.8535e+02    2.8202e+02    +3.3340e+00
  Nov       2.8238e+02    2.7856e+02    +3.8226e+00
  Dec       2.7971e+02    2.7593e+02    +3.7739e+00

Eastward Wind (uas)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
uas Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 21:51:05
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:51:05

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          1.9449e+00
  Bias:          -5.0713e-01
  MAE:           1.3408e+00
  Correlation:   -0.2500
  N points:      231,672
  Model mean:    5.5557e-01  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      1.0627e+00  (reference)
  Model std:     1.1828e+00
  Ref std:       1.1922e+00

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -8.6927e+00
    5th pct:     -3.9054e+00
    25th pct:    -1.2916e+00
    Median:      -3.7078e-01
    75th pct:    +3.2259e-01
    95th pct:    +2.5431e+00
    Max:         +8.0665e+00

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       2.3575e+00    -1.4480e-01    1.6798e+00  -0.2904
  Feb       2.2186e+00    -5.7390e-01    1.5802e+00  -0.2702
  Mar       2.1584e+00    -1.0560e+00    1.7082e+00  -0.5138
  Apr       1.8272e+00    -8.4678e-02    1.1978e+00  -0.7109
  May       1.0775e+00    -4.2044e-01    7.2477e-01  -0.4560
  Jun       1.3128e+00    -7.1004e-01    9.6040e-01  -0.0269
  Jul       1.6073e+00    -4.3822e-01    1.0943e+00  -0.5410
  Aug       1.6407e+00    -3.4128e-01    1.1649e+00  -0.5131
  Sep       1.5492e+00    -4.2711e-01    1.0565e+00  -0.5054
  Oct       2.1386e+00    -7.5502e-01    1.5320e+00  -0.7560
  Nov       2.5244e+00    -8.1573e-01    1.7162e+00  -0.6883
  Dec       2.3253e+00    -3.1829e-01    1.6746e+00  -0.2804
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       1.9449e+00    -5.0713e-01    1.3408e+00  -0.2500

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:51:05

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     1.1016e+00
  Future std:      1.9376e+00
  Reference mean:   1.1171e+00  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        1.1016e+00    1.9376e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.3811e+00    1.7972e+00    -4.1604e-01
  Feb       1.3649e+00    1.6725e+00    -3.0764e-01
  Mar       1.2326e+00    1.3297e+00    -9.7162e-02
  Apr       9.1357e-01    5.3359e-01    +3.7998e-01
  May       7.4689e-01    3.6819e-01    +3.7870e-01
  Jun       6.7566e-01    8.1012e-01    -1.3446e-01
  Jul       9.6618e-01    1.0253e+00    -5.9158e-02
  Aug       9.5503e-01    1.0169e+00    -6.1912e-02
  Sep       1.1077e+00    9.9367e-01    +1.1405e-01
  Oct       6.8431e-01    9.6379e-01    -2.7949e-01
  Nov       1.2438e+00    1.2725e+00    -2.8752e-02
  Dec       1.9562e+00    1.6214e+00    +3.3480e-01

Northward Wind (vas)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
vas Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 21:55:57
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:55:57

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          1.2534e+00
  Bias:          -1.6687e-01
  MAE:           8.6917e-01
  Correlation:   0.4065
  N points:      231,672
  Model mean:    3.8896e-01  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      5.5583e-01  (reference)
  Model std:     1.2478e+00
  Ref std:       1.0006e+00

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -8.2868e+00
    5th pct:     -2.0299e+00
    25th pct:    -7.6124e-01
    Median:      -1.9591e-01
    75th pct:    +3.9538e-01
    95th pct:    +1.8435e+00
    Max:         +8.7915e+00

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.6391e+00    +1.3575e-02    1.1495e+00  0.1774
  Feb       1.6308e+00    -7.4385e-03    1.1299e+00  0.0696
  Mar       1.3974e+00    +2.7319e-01    9.5362e-01  0.2109
  Apr       9.0972e-01    +2.7995e-02    6.4114e-01  0.4181
  May       8.4008e-01    -2.5631e-01    6.8333e-01  0.1888
  Jun       9.3805e-01    -4.8667e-01    7.3355e-01  0.3151
  Jul       8.3774e-01    -4.1055e-01    6.5002e-01  0.3147
  Aug       6.7730e-01    -2.8660e-01    5.3472e-01  0.4606
  Sep       7.3656e-01    -3.6704e-01    6.0691e-01  0.5551
  Oct       1.4716e+00    -1.0389e-01    1.0258e+00  0.0983
  Nov       1.4454e+00    -2.3102e-01    1.0668e+00  0.2822
  Dec       1.7838e+00    -1.6766e-01    1.2547e+00  -0.0608
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       1.2534e+00    -1.6687e-01    8.6917e-01  0.4065

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: CNRM-ESM2-1 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 21:55:57

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     5.4857e-01
  Future std:      1.9731e+00
  Reference mean:   5.3039e-01  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        5.4857e-01    1.9731e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.3841e+00    1.4604e+00    -7.6331e-02
  Feb       8.8808e-01    1.0678e+00    -1.7971e-01
  Mar       3.2497e-01    5.9937e-01    -2.7441e-01
  Apr       5.9687e-01    5.8783e-02    +5.3809e-01
  May      -4.9887e-01   -2.3832e-01    -2.6055e-01
  Jun      -5.6010e-02   -1.9717e-01    +1.4116e-01
  Jul      -8.5034e-02    7.9133e-02    -1.6417e-01
  Aug       6.2190e-04    2.2883e-01    -2.2820e-01
  Sep       2.9401e-01    4.8681e-01    -1.9280e-01
  Oct       6.7958e-01    7.9341e-01    -1.1382e-01
  Nov       1.3047e+00    9.0767e-01    +3.9706e-01
  Dec       1.7786e+00    1.1179e+00    +6.6071e-01