Evaporation (evspsbl)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
evspsbl Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 09:43:24
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:43:24

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          6.8530e-05
  Bias:          -5.3247e-05
  MAE:           5.5533e-05
  Correlation:   0.3055
  N points:      229,320
  Model mean:    2.1148e-05  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      7.4396e-05  (reference)
  Model std:     1.3922e-05
  Ref std:       4.5306e-05

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -1.7647e-04
    5th pct:     -1.2445e-04
    25th pct:    -8.8094e-05
    Median:      -5.0619e-05
    75th pct:    -1.5949e-05
    95th pct:    +6.9436e-06
    Max:         +6.3189e-05

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       7.2812e-05    -4.7518e-05    5.3368e-05  0.4151
  Feb       7.0705e-05    -4.8277e-05    5.1767e-05  0.4511
  Mar       6.1338e-05    -4.7229e-05    4.8645e-05  0.4673
  Apr       5.9650e-05    -5.0923e-05    5.1817e-05  0.1524
  May       6.5409e-05    -5.5696e-05    5.6882e-05  -0.1926
  Jun       7.0419e-05    -5.8800e-05    6.0173e-05  0.0969
  Jul       6.9046e-05    -5.6757e-05    5.8156e-05  0.1507
  Aug       6.5656e-05    -5.7961e-05    5.8412e-05  -0.2630
  Sep       6.1871e-05    -5.5049e-05    5.5253e-05  -0.2543
  Oct       6.9769e-05    -5.5563e-05    5.6886e-05  0.2693
  Nov       7.4708e-05    -5.2453e-05    5.6448e-05  0.3932
  Dec       7.8376e-05    -5.2743e-05    5.8592e-05  0.4339
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       6.8530e-05    -5.3247e-05    5.5533e-05  0.3055

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:43:24

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     7.8303e-05
  Future std:      2.5376e-05
  Reference mean:   7.6014e-05  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        7.8303e-05    2.5376e-05

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       5.8027e-05    6.7674e-05    -9.6473e-06
  Feb       9.1060e-05    6.7262e-05    +2.3798e-05
  Mar       7.4291e-05    6.7423e-05    +6.8680e-06
  Apr       6.1622e-05    7.3006e-05    -1.1384e-05
  May       8.5752e-05    7.9088e-05    +6.6643e-06
  Jun       9.3054e-05    8.6031e-05    +7.0227e-06
  Jul       1.0310e-04    8.5166e-05    +1.7931e-05
  Aug       8.0809e-05    8.4241e-05    -3.4317e-06
  Sep       8.1691e-05    7.8740e-05    +2.9510e-06
  Oct       6.6736e-05    7.6641e-05    -9.9044e-06
  Nov       5.2418e-05    7.3905e-05    -2.1487e-05
  Dec       9.1075e-05    7.2995e-05    +1.8079e-05

Near-surface Specific Humidity (huss)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
huss Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 09:36:20
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:36:20

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          2.1779e-03
  Bias:          -1.1819e-04
  MAE:           1.7681e-03
  Correlation:   0.5148
  N points:      229,320
  Model mean:    5.5842e-03  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      5.7024e-03  (reference)
  Model std:     2.2950e-03
  Ref std:       2.1078e-03

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -7.4484e-03
    5th pct:     -3.6969e-03
    25th pct:    -1.6208e-03
    Median:      -2.1721e-04
    75th pct:    +1.3938e-03
    95th pct:    +3.5485e-03
    Max:         +6.2900e-03

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.6003e-03    -4.1762e-04    1.2702e-03  0.2264
  Feb       1.5028e-03    -2.6512e-04    1.1781e-03  0.1755
  Mar       1.7005e-03    -3.4576e-04    1.3770e-03  -0.1520
  Apr       1.9804e-03    -3.1454e-04    1.6716e-03  -0.6792
  May       2.4367e-03    -4.5859e-05    2.0949e-03  -0.9346
  Jun       2.7288e-03    +2.8420e-04    2.3110e-03  -0.7871
  Jul       2.7091e-03    +6.7835e-05    2.2784e-03  -0.6249
  Aug       2.5962e-03    +5.3093e-05    2.1853e-03  -0.7511
  Sep       2.5005e-03    +8.0841e-05    2.0996e-03  -0.8715
  Oct       2.2922e-03    -8.8991e-05    1.9076e-03  -0.5937
  Nov       1.9045e-03    -2.6344e-04    1.5655e-03  -0.1854
  Dec       1.6392e-03    -1.6291e-04    1.2776e-03  0.1119
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       2.1779e-03    -1.1819e-04    1.7681e-03  0.5148

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:36:20

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     6.0580e-03
  Future std:      1.9126e-03
  Reference mean:   5.8405e-03  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        6.0580e-03    1.9126e-03

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       4.1264e-03    3.9533e-03    +1.7304e-04
  Feb       3.9834e-03    3.8590e-03    +1.2443e-04
  Mar       4.1256e-03    4.1419e-03    -1.6291e-05
  Apr       4.9857e-03    4.8012e-03    +1.8455e-04
  May       6.1810e-03    6.0018e-03    +1.7920e-04
  Jun       7.4252e-03    7.4198e-03    +5.4304e-06
  Jul       8.8739e-03    8.7104e-03    +1.6359e-04
  Aug       8.9981e-03    8.6856e-03    +3.1253e-04
  Sep       7.6689e-03    7.4194e-03    +2.4951e-04
  Oct       6.4318e-03    6.0521e-03    +3.7967e-04
  Nov       5.3290e-03    4.9006e-03    +4.2839e-04
  Dec       4.4043e-03    4.1407e-03    +2.6354e-04

Net Longwave Radiation (net_lw)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Conservative
################################################################################
net_lw Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 14:40:38
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 14:40:38

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          1.7527e+01
  Bias:          +5.4586e+00
  MAE:           1.3843e+01
  Correlation:   0.1657
  N points:      243,612
  Model mean:    -4.7106e+01  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      -5.2565e+01  (reference)
  Model std:     1.4121e+01
  Ref std:       1.1477e+01

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -5.6554e+01
    5th pct:     -2.0796e+01
    25th pct:    -5.9647e+00
    Median:      +4.7926e+00
    75th pct:    +1.6511e+01
    95th pct:    +3.4350e+01
    Max:         +6.8203e+01

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.8853e+01    +1.9458e+00    1.4348e+01  0.3730
  Feb       1.6874e+01    +4.9077e+00    1.3649e+01  0.4139
  Mar       1.7197e+01    +8.0615e+00    1.4630e+01  0.1431
  Apr       1.7827e+01    +1.0729e+01    1.5058e+01  -0.2164
  May       1.7125e+01    +9.8751e+00    1.3811e+01  -0.2924
  Jun       1.6750e+01    +4.5146e+00    1.2484e+01  -0.0102
  Jul       1.7913e+01    +2.2685e+00    1.4077e+01  0.0065
  Aug       1.8740e+01    +5.5695e+00    1.4527e+01  -0.2385
  Sep       1.5974e+01    +5.1080e+00    1.2557e+01  -0.3282
  Oct       1.5897e+01    +6.3491e+00    1.2666e+01  0.0595
  Nov       1.7680e+01    +2.9143e+00    1.3931e+01  0.3413
  Dec       1.9141e+01    +3.2601e+00    1.4375e+01  0.3652
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       1.7527e+01    +5.4586e+00    1.3843e+01  0.1657

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 14:40:38

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     -5.2401e+01
  Future std:      7.7678e+00
  Reference mean:   -5.2973e+01  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014       -5.2401e+01    7.7678e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan      -4.6969e+01   -4.8447e+01    +1.4777e+00
  Feb      -5.1164e+01   -5.1518e+01    +3.5457e-01
  Mar      -5.7453e+01   -5.6331e+01    -1.1219e+00
  Apr      -5.7782e+01   -5.9212e+01    +1.4300e+00
  May      -5.9692e+01   -5.8602e+01    -1.0902e+00
  Jun      -5.5795e+01   -5.4921e+01    -8.7459e-01
  Jul      -5.1907e+01   -5.1945e+01    +3.7317e-02
  Aug      -5.1779e+01   -5.3570e+01    +1.7906e+00
  Sep      -5.2394e+01   -5.2512e+01    +1.1857e-01
  Oct      -4.9882e+01   -5.1198e+01    +1.3165e+00
  Nov      -4.5683e+01   -4.8616e+01    +2.9331e+00
  Dec      -4.8262e+01   -4.8809e+01    +5.4644e-01

Net Shortwave Radiation (net_sw)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Conservative
################################################################################
net_sw Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 14:29:12
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 14:29:12

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          4.2214e+01
  Bias:          -8.3224e+00
  MAE:           3.3567e+01
  Correlation:   0.8346
  N points:      243,612
  Model mean:    9.1444e+01  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      9.9766e+01  (reference)
  Model std:     7.0810e+01
  Ref std:       7.2919e+01

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -2.0753e+02
    5th pct:     -7.9129e+01
    25th pct:    -3.5888e+01
    Median:      -7.0592e+00
    75th pct:    +1.9912e+01
    95th pct:    +5.8693e+01
    Max:         +1.7443e+02

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       2.6032e+01    -3.1063e+00    2.1985e+01  -0.8239
  Feb       3.7519e+01    -5.7587e+00    3.1368e+01  -0.7731
  Mar       4.7637e+01    -1.3332e+01    3.8798e+01  -0.6095
  Apr       5.2680e+01    -2.4491e+01    4.3359e+01  -0.3167
  May       4.5714e+01    -2.2363e+01    3.6883e+01  -0.1079
  Jun       3.8190e+01    -3.8544e+00    2.9465e+01  -0.0519
  Jul       4.4463e+01    -1.3051e+00    3.5593e+01  -0.3121
  Aug       5.3536e+01    -7.6688e+00    4.2912e+01  -0.6666
  Sep       5.1264e+01    -6.6891e+00    4.1987e+01  -0.8254
  Oct       4.2828e+01    -5.8250e+00    3.6042e+01  -0.9051
  Nov       3.0157e+01    -3.2959e+00    2.5508e+01  -0.8748
  Dec       2.2168e+01    -2.1803e+00    1.8898e+01  -0.8157
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       4.2214e+01    -8.3224e+00    3.3567e+01  0.8346

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 14:29:12

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     1.0409e+02
  Future std:      7.1245e+01
  Reference mean:   1.0325e+02  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        1.0409e+02    7.1245e+01

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.9302e+01    2.0474e+01    -1.1720e+00
  Feb       4.1951e+01    4.2400e+01    -4.4920e-01
  Mar       8.8269e+01    8.6638e+01    +1.6306e+00
  Apr       1.4508e+02    1.4520e+02    -1.1737e-01
  May       1.9478e+02    1.9119e+02    +3.5910e+00
  Jun       2.0771e+02    2.0463e+02    +3.0882e+00
  Jul       1.9220e+02    1.9109e+02    +1.1083e+00
  Aug       1.5471e+02    1.5601e+02    -1.2965e+00
  Sep       1.0390e+02    1.0329e+02    +6.0398e-01
  Oct       5.6253e+01    5.6383e+01    -1.3050e-01
  Nov       2.5571e+01    2.6083e+01    -5.1268e-01
  Dec       1.5416e+01    1.5659e+01    -2.4324e-01

Precipitation (pr)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Conservative
################################################################################
pr Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-09 22:52:12
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:52:12

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          3.2469e-05
  Bias:          +3.0369e-05
  MAE:           3.0369e-05
  Correlation:   0.4909
  N points:      243,612
  Model mean:    3.0412e-05  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      4.2730e-08  (reference)
  Model std:     1.1496e-05
  Ref std:       1.7820e-08

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         +2.6874e-06
    5th pct:     +1.5483e-05
    25th pct:    +2.2067e-05
    Median:      +2.8070e-05
    75th pct:    +3.6490e-05
    95th pct:    +5.3761e-05
    Max:         +7.5236e-05

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       3.4819e-05    +3.2118e-05    3.2118e-05  0.5990
  Feb       3.2703e-05    +3.0083e-05    3.0083e-05  0.5637
  Mar       2.8593e-05    +2.7053e-05    2.7053e-05  0.5130
  Apr       2.5842e-05    +2.4835e-05    2.4835e-05  0.2492
  May       2.5318e-05    +2.4354e-05    2.4354e-05  -0.1032
  Jun       2.6886e-05    +2.5074e-05    2.5074e-05  -0.0156
  Jul       2.9839e-05    +2.8145e-05    2.8145e-05  0.1853
  Aug       3.2929e-05    +3.1500e-05    3.1500e-05  0.1734
  Sep       3.5713e-05    +3.4497e-05    3.4497e-05  0.3574
  Oct       3.5893e-05    +3.4335e-05    3.4335e-05  0.5122
  Nov       3.8975e-05    +3.6721e-05    3.6721e-05  0.5693
  Dec       3.8239e-05    +3.5715e-05    3.5715e-05  0.6012
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       3.2469e-05    +3.0369e-05    3.0369e-05  0.4909

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-09 22:52:12

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     3.5046e-05
  Future std:      2.2654e-05
  Reference mean:   4.2646e-08  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        3.5046e-05    2.2654e-05

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       3.7646e-05    4.7381e-08    +3.7598e-05
  Feb       3.8013e-05    4.3793e-08    +3.7969e-05
  Mar       2.9693e-05    3.8251e-08    +2.9654e-05
  Apr       2.8677e-05    3.5201e-08    +2.8642e-05
  May       2.7791e-05    3.4692e-08    +2.7757e-05
  Jun       2.9773e-05    3.8137e-08    +2.9735e-05
  Jul       3.6362e-05    4.0041e-08    +3.6322e-05
  Aug       3.6371e-05    4.1577e-08    +3.6329e-05
  Sep       3.7623e-05    4.4224e-08    +3.7579e-05
  Oct       3.8867e-05    4.9600e-08    +3.8817e-05
  Nov       3.9257e-05    5.0166e-08    +3.9207e-05
  Dec       4.0607e-05    4.8684e-08    +4.0559e-05

Sea-level Pressure (psl)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
psl Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 09:21:53
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:21:53

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          6.3091e+02
  Bias:          -6.6888e+01
  MAE:           4.8953e+02
  Correlation:   -0.0467
  N points:      229,320
  Model mean:    1.0115e+05  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      1.0122e+05  (reference)
  Model std:     4.1714e+02
  Ref std:       4.4948e+02

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -1.8410e+03
    5th pct:     -1.1605e+03
    25th pct:    -4.9923e+02
    Median:      +2.1266e+01
    75th pct:    +3.0519e+02
    95th pct:    +9.4676e+02
    Max:         +1.7376e+03

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       8.5151e+02    -1.3767e+02    7.4341e+02  -0.2043
  Feb       8.8372e+02    -8.3057e+01    7.6861e+02  -0.3710
  Mar       6.2907e+02    +2.0067e+01    5.5334e+02  -0.6816
  Apr       1.0651e+02    +6.3752e+01    8.9419e+01  0.8815
  May       1.3541e+02    +5.5971e+01    1.1396e+02  0.4110
  Jun       2.2761e+02    +1.4003e+02    1.9191e+02  0.4059
  Jul       3.5208e+02    +1.9993e+01    3.0778e+02  -0.5182
  Aug       5.1488e+02    -1.0715e+02    4.4881e+02  -0.7578
  Sep       7.0177e+02    -1.9326e+02    6.2145e+02  -0.6785
  Oct       5.8338e+02    +3.0583e+01    5.1734e+02  -0.0124
  Nov       6.6929e+02    -2.4183e+02    5.8406e+02  0.0207
  Dec       1.0599e+03    -3.7008e+02    9.3425e+02  -0.6004
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       6.3091e+02    -6.6888e+01    4.8953e+02  -0.0467

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:21:53

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     1.0234e+05
  Future std:      7.2741e+02
  Reference mean:   1.0127e+05  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        1.0234e+05    7.2741e+02

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.0240e+05    1.0114e+05    +1.2586e+03
  Feb       1.0189e+05    1.0118e+05    +7.1193e+02
  Mar       1.0227e+05    1.0128e+05    +9.9681e+02
  Apr       1.0236e+05    1.0130e+05    +1.0630e+03
  May       1.0254e+05    1.0150e+05    +1.0387e+03
  Jun       1.0252e+05    1.0144e+05    +1.0774e+03
  Jul       1.0242e+05    1.0136e+05    +1.0521e+03
  Aug       1.0237e+05    1.0134e+05    +1.0340e+03
  Sep       1.0241e+05    1.0133e+05    +1.0723e+03
  Oct       1.0241e+05    1.0116e+05    +1.2470e+03
  Nov       1.0225e+05    1.0110e+05    +1.1484e+03
  Dec       1.0216e+05    1.0114e+05    +1.0245e+03

Near-surface Air Temperature (tas)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
tas Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 09:00:00
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:00:00

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          6.9425e+00
  Bias:          -1.6123e+00
  MAE:           5.5457e+00
  Correlation:   0.5101
  N points:      229,320
  Model mean:    2.7930e+02  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      2.8091e+02  (reference)
  Model std:     7.1289e+00
  Ref std:       6.4644e+00

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -2.5628e+01
    5th pct:     -1.2920e+01
    25th pct:    -6.4655e+00
    Median:      -1.3230e+00
    75th pct:    +3.1151e+00
    95th pct:    +9.6267e+00
    Max:         +1.9077e+01

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       7.4180e+00    -2.4782e+00    5.8624e+00  0.4004
  Feb       7.3060e+00    -1.9990e+00    5.7098e+00  0.3147
  Mar       7.4953e+00    -2.6069e+00    5.8969e+00  -0.0287
  Apr       7.6622e+00    -2.7801e+00    6.0867e+00  -0.6055
  May       7.3488e+00    -1.9049e+00    6.0216e+00  -0.8190
  Jun       6.7078e+00    -7.5394e-01    5.5515e+00  -0.5636
  Jul       6.4216e+00    -9.5489e-01    5.2865e+00  -0.4297
  Aug       6.3444e+00    -1.1870e+00    5.2263e+00  -0.6596
  Sep       6.3237e+00    -9.8074e-01    5.1463e+00  -0.7649
  Oct       6.5564e+00    -1.0733e+00    5.2461e+00  -0.3422
  Nov       6.7518e+00    -1.4082e+00    5.2746e+00  0.0850
  Dec       6.7854e+00    -1.2204e+00    5.2397e+00  0.3276
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       6.9425e+00    -1.6123e+00    5.5457e+00  0.5101

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:00:00

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     2.8472e+02
  Future std:      5.1447e+00
  Reference mean:   2.8131e+02  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        2.8472e+02    5.1447e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       2.7842e+02    2.7523e+02    +3.1873e+00
  Feb       2.7875e+02    2.7519e+02    +3.5602e+00
  Mar       2.7986e+02    2.7703e+02    +2.8315e+00
  Apr       2.8316e+02    2.7986e+02    +3.2940e+00
  May       2.8656e+02    2.8320e+02    +3.3660e+00
  Jun       2.8919e+02    2.8619e+02    +2.9964e+00
  Jul       2.9163e+02    2.8847e+02    +3.1569e+00
  Aug       2.9180e+02    2.8843e+02    +3.3691e+00
  Sep       2.8903e+02    2.8561e+02    +3.4216e+00
  Oct       2.8561e+02    2.8202e+02    +3.5899e+00
  Nov       2.8240e+02    2.7856e+02    +3.8455e+00
  Dec       2.7980e+02    2.7593e+02    +3.8703e+00

Eastward Wind (uas)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
uas Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 09:08:38
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:08:38

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          2.1899e+00
  Bias:          -5.8323e-01
  MAE:           1.5651e+00
  Correlation:   -0.2875
  N points:      229,320
  Model mean:    4.7848e-01  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      1.0617e+00  (reference)
  Model std:     1.4397e+00
  Ref std:       1.1843e+00

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -9.0474e+00
    5th pct:     -4.1773e+00
    25th pct:    -1.5455e+00
    Median:      -5.7396e-01
    75th pct:    +3.0318e-01
    95th pct:    +3.3297e+00
    Max:         +8.4953e+00

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       3.0605e+00    -1.2569e+00    2.3330e+00  -0.5044
  Feb       2.6320e+00    -9.0611e-01    1.9341e+00  -0.3237
  Mar       1.5111e+00    -7.7521e-01    1.2063e+00  -0.1054
  Apr       1.7120e+00    -8.3308e-01    1.2718e+00  -0.7066
  May       1.5163e+00    -4.8656e-01    1.1188e+00  -0.7885
  Jun       1.8507e+00    -8.6459e-01    1.4394e+00  -0.6617
  Jul       2.0241e+00    -3.0982e-01    1.4417e+00  -0.5820
  Aug       1.9801e+00    +3.4258e-02    1.4975e+00  -0.2973
  Sep       1.6335e+00    +1.4151e-01    1.0985e+00  0.0089
  Oct       2.0561e+00    -5.3440e-01    1.4467e+00  -0.6381
  Nov       2.9638e+00    -8.0933e-01    2.0895e+00  -0.6037
  Dec       2.5726e+00    -3.9856e-01    1.9039e+00  -0.1970
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       2.1899e+00    -5.8323e-01    1.5651e+00  -0.2875

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:08:38

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     1.1436e+00
  Future std:      2.0250e+00
  Reference mean:   1.1171e+00  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        1.1436e+00    2.0250e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       2.1602e+00    1.7972e+00    +3.6307e-01
  Feb       2.2764e+00    1.6725e+00    +6.0387e-01
  Mar       1.1455e+00    1.3297e+00    -1.8426e-01
  Apr       5.1495e-01    5.3359e-01    -1.8648e-02
  May       3.6057e-01    3.6819e-01    -7.6248e-03
  Jun       9.1372e-01    8.1012e-01    +1.0360e-01
  Jul       1.1496e+00    1.0253e+00    +1.2426e-01
  Aug       9.0554e-01    1.0169e+00    -1.1140e-01
  Sep       1.1500e+00    9.9367e-01    +1.5638e-01
  Oct      -4.6031e-01    9.6379e-01    -1.4241e+00
  Nov       1.2336e+00    1.2725e+00    -3.8996e-02
  Dec       2.4589e+00    1.6214e+00    +8.3745e-01

Northward Wind (vas)

Calibration maps (historical period), historical Calibration maps (historical period), historical

Projected future trend, historical Projected future trend, historical

Monthly breakdown, historical Monthly breakdown, historical

Seasonal cycle, historical Seasonal cycle, historical

Statistics: Statistics Historical Bilinear
################################################################################
vas Bias Correction Statistics
################################################################################
  Format:     1.1
  Created:    2026-09-10 09:15:45
  Author:     
  Project:    
  Institute:  
  Area:       
  Experiment: 
################################################################################

================================================================================
Calibration: 1990-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:15:45

--- Model historical vs reference ---
  RMSE:          1.1287e+00
  Bias:          -1.2059e-02
  MAE:           7.9283e-01
  Correlation:   0.3887
  N points:      229,320
  Model mean:    5.4521e-01  (model raw)
  Ref mean:      5.5727e-01  (reference)
  Model std:     1.0434e+00
  Ref std:       9.9690e-01

  Error distribution (model raw − reference):
    Min:         -8.8383e+00
    5th pct:     -1.8227e+00
    25th pct:    -5.6251e-01
    Median:      +7.7203e-03
    75th pct:    +5.7103e-01
    95th pct:    +1.6547e+00
    Max:         +8.9019e+00

  Monthly breakdown:
  Month           RMSE           Bias           MAE    Corr
  --------------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.8074e+00    -7.2755e-01    1.4039e+00  0.1295
  Feb       1.3699e+00    +8.7368e-02    9.6897e-01  0.3125
  Mar       1.0972e+00    -3.3489e-01    8.0788e-01  0.2725
  Apr       7.8440e-01    -2.6290e-01    5.8004e-01  0.4048
  May       7.2641e-01    +3.3375e-01    5.8488e-01  0.2244
  Jun       7.5435e-01    +2.3387e-01    6.1594e-01  0.3808
  Jul       6.6408e-01    +4.9305e-03    5.0377e-01  0.3922
  Aug       5.1378e-01    +8.9164e-02    3.7927e-01  0.5852
  Sep       7.8132e-01    +3.0145e-01    5.7861e-01  0.5619
  Oct       1.1832e+00    +2.5371e-01    8.6529e-01  0.2358
  Nov       1.3410e+00    -2.8273e-02    1.0091e+00  0.2671
  Dec       1.6477e+00    -9.5337e-02    1.2163e+00  0.0357
  --------------------------------------------------------
  All       1.1287e+00    -1.2059e-02    7.9283e-01  0.3887

================================================================================
Future: 2010-01-01 – 2014-12-31  |  Model: GFDL-ESM4 (bias-corrected)
================================================================================
Analysed: 2026-09-10 09:15:45

--- Corrected future (area mean) ---
  Future mean:     6.6897e-01
  Future std:      1.9030e+00
  Reference mean:   5.3039e-01  (calibration period)

  10-year period means:
  Period                Mean           Std
  ----------------------------------------
  2010–2014        6.6897e-01    1.9030e+00

  Monthly climatology (area mean):
  Month      Corrected     Reference           Diff
  --------------------------------------------------
  Jan       1.7852e+00    1.4604e+00    +3.2471e-01
  Feb       7.3496e-01    1.0678e+00    -3.3283e-01
  Mar       5.0596e-01    5.9937e-01    -9.3414e-02
  Apr       4.0112e-01    5.8783e-02    +3.4233e-01
  May       6.2933e-03   -2.3832e-01    +2.4462e-01
  Jun      -4.3651e-01   -1.9717e-01    -2.3934e-01
  Jul      -1.7584e-01    7.9133e-02    -2.5497e-01
  Aug       1.7371e-01    2.2883e-01    -5.5113e-02
  Sep       7.9487e-01    4.8681e-01    +3.0806e-01
  Oct       1.1501e+00    7.9341e-01    +3.5667e-01
  Nov       1.6328e+00    9.0767e-01    +7.2516e-01
  Dec       1.4523e+00    1.1179e+00    +3.3437e-01